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I intend to highlight specific provisions of the bill in future columns, but would like to start with a look at the costs.
According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, here is an assessment of the current situation:
- U.S. health care expenditures in 2007 totaled $2.2 trillion, which amounts to roughly 2.5 times more per person than any other industrialized country;
- Government spending at the state and federal level accounted for roughly half of all health care expenditures ($1 trillion);
- The current government health care entitlements – Medicare and Medicaid – are already broke. Medicare alone has an unfunded liability of $38 trillion, while Medicaid’s increasing strains on State budgets contribute to fiscal crises from coast-to-coast;
- Costs incurred by families and business alike – in the form of higher premiums and out-of-pocket costs – continue to outpace wage growth, economic growth, and inflation.
- Exploding costs have forced families with insurance to do more with less, while leaving coverage increasingly out of reach for millions of Americans.
Rather than tackle the root causes of health inflation, H.R. 3200 would make matters worse. After the legislation had been passed out of the House Ways and Means Committee on July 17, 2009, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its official cost estimate of H.R. 3200. With its objective analysis, the CBO dealt a serious blow to the legislation, demonstrating that the bill being rushed through Congress violated the very promises made by its proponents.
Among the CBO report’s chief findings as it relates to costs:
- Total costs would exceed $1 trillion;
- An economy already mired in a recession would be hit with tax hikes of $583 billion, while Medicare spending “cuts” would equal $219 billion;
- Despite the tax hikes and spending cuts, H.R. 3200 would still add $239 billion to the federal deficit;
- In a follow-up letter in response to my concerns on the long-term cost projection, the CBO Director warned of “substantial increases in federal budget deficits” for years to come.
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